Verified settlement
Published picks, final scores, unit outcomes, and official performance—kept in one auditable ledger.
Ledger shows one canonical pre-tip published pick per event, market, and subject. Earlier revisions are consolidated.
V4 preserves the verified Model 2.0 forward record and appends new V4 publications without rewriting history. Archive and live rows stay labeled.
Win rate
74.0%
37W / 13L / 0P
Flat-stake ROI
-3.1%
-1.56u
Simulated daily accumulator
-47.9%
12 days / -5.75u
Settled picks
50
50 decisions
Last updated
Aug 25, 4:40 AM EDT
Database ledger
Simulated accumulator groups every qualifying published pick by Eastern betting day at recorded prices. 1 of 12 days combine multiple sportsbooks and do not represent single-book wagers. Mean daily flat-stake ROI: -5.2%.
Verified Model 2.0 moneyline benchmark: 12W / 2L · +9.3% flat-stake ROI across 14 settled decisions. This is the preserved forward record, not a reconstructed backtest.
| Matchup | Market | Pick | Win probability | Outcome | Closing line | Result | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fri, Aug 21, 20264W / 3L / 0P / 57.1% win rate / -9.6% ROI / -0.67u | |||||||
 GSVat CHI | Total PointsV4 live | Under 169.5 | LEAN · 64% | 70–73 (143) | 169.5 (-196) | Win | +0.51u |
Thu, Aug 20, 20263W / 2L / 0P / 60.0% win rate / -14.7% ROI / -0.73u | |||||||
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 CONat LVA |
| Total PointsV4 live |
| Under 171.5 |
LEAN · 65% |
| 78–101 (179) |
| 171.5 (-158) |
| Loss |
| -1.00u |
 ATLat LAS | Total PointsV4 live | Under 184.5 | LEAN · 65% | 124–88 (212) | 184.5 (-158) | Loss | -1.00u |
| ATLatLAS | Game WinnerV4 live | Atlanta Dream Win | LEAN · 77% | 124–88 | - (-400) | Win | +0.25u |
| ATLatLAS | Player AssistsV4 live | Ariel Atkins Under 3.5 | LEAN · 62% | 124–88 | 3.5 (-192) | Win | +0.52u |
 INDat DAL | Total PointsV4 live | Under 192.5 | LEAN · 65% | 85–91 (176) | 192.5 (-215) | Win | +0.50u |
Wed, Aug 19, 20261W / 1L / 0P / 50.0% win rate / -24.8% ROI / -0.49u | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MINatGSV | Total PointsV4 live | Under 168.5 | LEAN · 63% | 77–66 (143) | 168.5 (-198) | Win | +0.51u |
 TORat WAS | Total PointsV4 live | Under 174.5 | LEAN · 64% | 82–93 (175) | 174.5 (-198) | Loss | -1.00u |
Tue, Aug 18, 20267W / 1L / 0P / 87.5% win rate / +26.5% ROI / +2.12u | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NYLatCHI | Player ThreesV4 live | Azura Stevens Under 1.5 | LEAN · 70% | 86–93 | 1.5 (-235) | Win | +0.37u |
| ATLatLVA | Total PointsV4 live | Under 183.5 | LEAN · 64% | 97–82 (179) | 183.5 (-174) | Win | +0.51u |
