Verified settlement
Published picks, final scores, unit outcomes, and official performance—kept in one auditable ledger.
Ledger shows one canonical pre-tip published pick per event, market, and subject. Earlier revisions are consolidated.
V4 preserves the verified Model 2.0 forward record and appends new V4 publications without rewriting history. Archive and live rows stay labeled.
Win rate
74.0%
37W / 13L / 0P
Flat-stake ROI
-3.1%
-1.56u
Simulated daily accumulator
-47.9%
12 days / -5.75u
Settled picks
50
50 decisions
Last updated
Aug 25, 4:40 AM EDT
Database ledger
Simulated accumulator groups every qualifying published pick by Eastern betting day at recorded prices. 1 of 12 days combine multiple sportsbooks and do not represent single-book wagers. Mean daily flat-stake ROI: -5.2%.
Verified Model 2.0 moneyline benchmark: 12W / 2L · +9.3% flat-stake ROI across 14 settled decisions. This is the preserved forward record, not a reconstructed backtest.
| Matchup | Market | Pick | Win probability | Outcome | Closing line | Result | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tue, Aug 18, 20267W / 1L / 0P / 87.5% win rate / +26.5% ROI / +2.12u | |||||||
 NYLat CHI | Player ThreesV4 live | Natasha Cloud Under 1.5 | LEAN · 66% | 86–93 | 1.5 (-220) | Loss | -1.00u |
| NYLat | |||||||
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| Total PointsV4 live |
| Under 185.5 |
LEAN · 64% |
| 86–93 (179) |
| 185.5 (-180) |
| Win |
| +0.51u |
 LASat CON | Player AssistsV4 live | Ariel Atkins Under 3.5 | LEAN · 62% | 77–85 | 3.5 (-154) | Win | +0.52u |
 INDat TOR | Total PointsV4 live | Under 196.5 | LEAN · 65% | 101–95 (196) | 196.5 (-198) | Win | +0.51u |
| INDatTOR | Game WinnerV4 live | Indiana Fever Win | LEAN · 83% | 101–95 | - (-549) | Win | +0.18u |
| LASatCON | Total PointsV4 live | Under 175.5 | LEAN · 64% | 77–85 (162) | 175.5 (-198) | Win | +0.52u |
Sun, Aug 16, 20263W / 0L / 0P / 100.0% win rate / +17.4% ROI / +0.52u | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PDXat PHX | Total PointsV4 live | Over 152.5 | EXTREME · 95% | 88–85 (173) | 152.5 (-4000) | Win | +0.03u |
CHIat SEA | Total PointsV4 live | Under 201.5 | HIGH · 93% | 82–80 (162) | 201.5 (-2381) | Win | +0.04u |
| CHIatSEA | Player ThreesV4 live | Azura Stevens Under 1.5 | LEAN · 66% | 82–80 | 1.5 (-220) | Win | +0.45u |
Sat, Aug 15, 20263W / 0L / 0P / 100.0% win rate / +15.6% ROI / +0.47u | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MINat LVA | Total PointsV4 live | Over 158.5 | HIGH · 93% | 92–87 (179) | 158.5 (-2326) | Win | +0.04u |
